Distance covered today: 14.2 km (8.8 mi)
Last night's B&B: Little Pengelly
% Complete: Cumulative distance: 41.8%: 424.2 km
Total Ascent/Total Descent: 838 m/ 819 m
GPS satellite track of today's route: Day 23(click!)
It wasn’t that I was just being negative last evening.
Today’s walk really was more difficult. Again the path was often absent, and
when present, often submerged in bog. At times I thought I was back on the
Pennines! Also the sadists have discovered a new trick; the instantaneous ups
and downs! If you look carefully at the profile below and compare it with
earlier profiles you will see what I mean. These short and very sharp bumps in
the trail mean that the predicted climb is much less than the actual, because
the predictions smooth it all out. I have just worked out that I climbed more
per unit distance today than on any other day of the trail. To make matters
worse, the weather was appalling, with driving rain, especially to finish and a
howling south west headwind that constantly tried to blow me off the cliff.
The net effect was that I could see very little, hear almost
nothing above the wind and frankly, taste and smell weren’t much use to me either.
Touch was supreme. I was hugging those infernal rocks as if trying to grow
roots into them! I could hardly see my gadgets to navigate, but when the path
disappeared altogether, they were invaluable! I got to thinking about how
reliant we are on our senses (obviously), but somewhat less obviously, how those
senses interact with the thing that makes us human; consciousness. I spent my
time on the cliffs today worrying about consciousness.
Indulge me a little. There will be those of you who have had
grandchildren and you will appreciate my point, but for the rest, I need to
explain that my grandson is truly a phenomenon. Apart from of course being
perfectly formed, he is also unique, extraordinarily gifted and very well
behaved. Given that I have been away walking for a quarter of his life, you may
legitimately wonder how I know these things and I can only reply that you have
to be a grandfather to understand.
That said, he caused me today to think some more about my
ill-formed ideas about consciousness. No series of posts from your
correspondent would be complete without a reference to the development of
artificial intelligence (AI) and this will be no exception. There is much in
the press at present about the scraps that are going on in the US as various
teams battle for supremacy in the race to produce driverless cars. The battles
seem to take place as much in the courtroom as the laboratory, but the progress
in reality is simply unprecedented. A fascinating article in a recent edition
of the Economist argued that the artificial intelligence community is turning
to video games as a much more efficient mechanism for teaching their robots to
respond to the real world than the real world itself! It turns out that
computers learn faster from other computers than they do from humans or the
world around them!
Despite the temptation, I refuse to bore you with the
details (I may already have broken that promise!!). My point is, though, that
the current rate of progress along this path is accelerating at such a pace
that I have my doubts whether we are philosophically in a position to deal with
the consequences. At some point along this trajectory, I predict these machines
will become conscious.
That of course begs the question about what consciousness
is. The dictionary definitions don’t help very much. They all say something
like “consciousness is the state of being aware of and responsive to one's
surroundings”. A driverless car is aware of and responsive to its surroundings,
but in my opinion, it certainly isn’t conscious. At the other extreme, there
are many who apply a metaphysical or religious interpretation to this question,
in that they believe consciousness is a divine gift. For the few eminently
sensible and long-suffering readers of this drivel who are of that ilk, I must
again beg your indulgence in that I seek a more scientifically-based explanation.
My grandson however speaks volumes on the issue. Shortly
after he was born he was a bit like a driverless car (my sincere hope and trust
is that his parents aren’t reading this…). He reacted to stimuli with
pre-programmed responses which were calculated to achieve a satisfactory level
of welfare, and continued existence. There came though, a time when it was
possible to distinguish the difference between a winding grimace and a genuine
smile, the latter implying communication with his parents (or even his
grandparents!). Certainly this is a phenomenal change, and surely it has to be
the beginning of consciousness! Not only is he reacting to stimuli, but there
is an argument that he is experiencing a growing sense of self as other than
that which he perceives through his senses. Given that nascent perception, he
applies an emotional response, possibly imitating the maternal or paternal
behaviour that he observes; receives intense positive feedback and feels
encouraged to continue the process. So his incredible learning curve develops
into proper consciousness.
If this explanation has any legitimacy at all, it suggests
that machines will sooner or later be able to make the same almost incredible
leap from responsiveness to stimuli, to consciousness itself. It is only a
matter of time and technology. It requires multiple feedback loops that enable
the organism ultimately to start forming a sense of itself through learning the
effect of its responses on the behaviour of the perceived outside world, and
ultimately to start to attempt to manipulate that behaviour by adjusting its own
responses.
We see this sort of behaviour in animal experiments
throughout psychology. In my opinion there is no reason to believe that
machines will not soon be ‘clever’ enough to do the same.
Fundamentally though, the question remains; we are all too quick to anthropomorphise the
behaviour of our gorgeous pet dog, but we shy away from suggesting that it is
conscious in the way my grandson is. If that dog was just that much brighter,
would that leap be so unimaginable?
The fact is that AI is advancing at a rate so much faster than
dog evolution, so we should really not be surprised if the machine becomes
conscious, and much sooner than we expect. I think we should be devoting our
time to thinking how we will react to that possibility, rather than denying
that it will become reality.
By the time I finally reached the hill at the top of which I
would find the pub and Veronica, into the teeth of a spitefully vicious rain
storm propelled by homicidal winds, I was beginning to wish that my own consciousness
would just go into hibernation and come back to me in some sylvan summer!
Last night's rain cascading down the slopes
Yours truly. Conscious or just crazy?
Looking back across Pendour Cove to Zennor Head
Porthglaze Cove
Gurnard's Head appears. Much argument around as to whether the peninsula does indeed resemble a fish's head
Water cascading vertically to the cove below
More industrial archaeology
Gurnard's Head closeup
A lovely house in the very middle of nowhere!
Angry sea on the seaward side of Gurnard's Head
Sea Campion before Robin's Rocks
I have become blase about flowers, but still the bluebells' rule!
Porthmeor Cove
And a granite bridge at its nadir
Industrial archaeology in the impenetrable mist
Pendeen Watch invisible in the conditions
These guys weren't worried!
So where is the path here? Hug those rocks, Kevin!
Portheras Cove, as I headed inland to find my love
You are really quite remarkable, Kevin! Despite enduring that driving wind and rain, you are still able to discuss the perils of AI and dubious comparisons between your infant grandson and driverless cars! You even managed to photograph scenery just as you normally would...although the lovely azure has vanished. I think that in the same position, I would have kept my head down all day and grumbled incessantly.
ReplyDeleteDear Phyllis, so good to get your positive comments before the firestorm that my drivel will no doubt unleash! Even you are dubious about my dubious comparisons! Fair enough!!
DeleteHello KTB,
ReplyDeleteI agree wholeheartedly with Phyllis. Part of what makes your posts so enjoyable is the deviation into thoughts which occupy you even as you battle with the elements in risky conditions - on a day like this I can see why you sensibly opt for day glow clothing.
Actually I can see a Gurnard in that headland - very squat head.
You will maybe not be surprised to hear that I disagree with your thoughts about AI ever even coming close to anything comparable to human consciousness - at least in part because it's the humans 'wot do the designing, and as you interestingly mention - it's far easier to "train" machines from other machines designed by humans, rather than to try to fathom out what determines the programmers' consciousness, who clearly don't understand yet even the half of what makes themselves tick. But I sense that this disagreement stems partly from us having followed different routes within the fields of science - natural or physical. It seems the more I look at any natural science issue, the more I realise that we have no idea just how complex things really are. However this may indeed in part be because so little in the way of economic resources are currently channelled into many of these fields.
At the weekend we heard that there are now just 2 mycologists employed in the agricultural/botanical field in the UK. They are indeed an endangered species, yet some of the fungal diseases which are mutating into strains capable of wiping out both wheat, and perennial ryegrass, for example, and hence much of our standard food crops, are an increasing threat to reliable food supply.
Would that Google would squander a few bob on seeing this as a useful area of corporate endeavour, and ease off a bit on the race to driverless cars??
Yours, with hobbit like simplicity and frustration,
GH
Dear GH I am not at all surprised, and I can imagine that HN is beyond words! Ah well, you can't win 'em all! I agree about the fish, by the way. 2 Mycologists? You are right to warn us...
DeleteFurther to my comment, if you get a chance on a day off, try to listen to Ottoline Leyser on R4 (today) The Life Scientific with Jim Alkalali. She talks about intelligent plants and is a supreme communicator...
DeleteBW
GH
I really enjoy Jim's programmes, and I'll listen when I get home!
DeleteMax's parents are most certainly reading this!!!! He is (and always had been) way more conscious than a driverless car! I've sat in one of them by the way... But it didn't move anywhere!
ReplyDeleteHave you read this article on AI? I think you'd enjoy it!
http://waitbutwhy.com/2015/01/artificial-intelligence-revolution-1.html
Anna xxx
Oops!
DeleteIt seems Anna has managed to silence her Dad! Oops, indeed!
DeleteSilence........
DeleteMy cat, Hamley Pyjama-Bag is alot more intelligent than anyone but me knows. Just saying. (Defs more than a driverless car).
ReplyDeleteAlso, I think the answer is Conscious and Crazy.
But then Hamley Pyjama-Bag is not just any cat, is he? No cat of yours could be!! Yours, sincerely, Consciously crazy.....
DeleteThat one path looked very scary. I do not think I could have braved it especially at the edge of a cliff.
ReplyDeleteQuite right, Bridgy, you have more sense!
Delete